Sports playing are often very profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. We analyzed often the West Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the activity. However , I actually also noticed that there are a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one connected with the best games of the year, together with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming again from being down huge in the final 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In the event this sport were being played from a natural field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

All these are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the additional benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that more point will make the big difference between a new push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since January 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game in the home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 7 points each game with home. In Coral opening times Sunday failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact his or her last home decline they’ve averaged beating his or her competitors by way of about thirty four things per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, simply by 13 items per game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats had been built up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They already have acquired recent games through which they already have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. Many people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still some sort of close video game to call up. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this kind of game and not really guarantee at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more simple strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a new TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border was not so big they will could very well still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that match, people really serious regarding wagering saved money many people can put to better use on upcoming games.